The table below shows the odds of each hand winning in typical all-in match ups in Texas Holdem. The percentage chance of winning assumes that both players are all-in and that all 5 community cards will be dealt to determine a winner. The table also assumes that there are no other players in the hand, although the results should be very similar.
All-in hands probability odds chart.
| Typical Match Up | Hand 1 | Hand 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under Pair vs. Overcards | T T | 57% | 43% | A K |
| Overpair vs. Pair | K K | 80% | 20% | 9 9 |
| 2 Overcards vs. 2 Undercards | A Q | 63% | 37% | 5 7 |
| Dominated Hand | A J | 79% | 21% | J T |
| Very Dominated Hand | Q Q | 89% | 11% | Q J |
| Overcard vs. Dominated Kicker | A 9 | 29% | 71% | 9 9 |
| Pair vs. 1 Overcard | 8 8 | 69% | 31% | A 5 |
| 1 Overcard vs. 2 Middle Cards | J 4 | 57% | 43% | 6 8 |
How to use the all in match-ups odds chart.
Heads-up Match-ups in Hold’em By Tom 'TIME' Leonard In this lesson we’re going to run through a number of heads-up match-ups that will help give you an idea of where you stand in a variety of pre-flop situations when playing hold’em. Apr 12, 2008 Who Really Wins at Poker? Aggression is Critical in Heads-Up Poker! Aggression is an important part of any form of poker but with heads-up it's critical. You're in the blinds every hand. If you buy-in for $200 for a $1/$2 heads-up match and fold every hand, you will lose half your stack in just 66 hands. In a full ring game, you would have lost. May 20, 2017 The Jackpot Sit & Go Blueprint is a set of preflop charts created by High-Stakes Heads-Up Professional and former Jackpot Poker crusher CaptnKrnch. Having moved up from the $100 Jackpot poker games to dominating the $300-$1000 Heads-Up Turbo games on PokerStars, CaptnKrnch presents a set of charts that will cover every single common preflop.
The table can be used to estimate your chances of winning in common all-in situations, however, the table does not highlight the exact probabilities for the certain match-ups in general.
For example: in the pair v overcards match-up, 2 2 would be a 53% favourite against A K instead of being a slightly stronger favourite like T T with a 57% chance of winning. The is due to other factors such as the increased probability that two overpairs will appear on the board creating a higher two-pair with a better kicker for the player holding A K.
All in match up odds evaluation.
As you can see from the table, some of the match-ups are closer than you might expect them to be. For example, if you have another player dominated with a hand like A J against J T, your opponent will win the pot 1 time in 4. Therefore you should be careful not to become overly excited when cards like these are turned over in an all-in situation, because your opponent is not always as far behind as you think.
Another interesting all-in match up is the very common AK versus an under pair. The table shows that although the odds are fairly even, the under-pair will usually have the slight advantage.
This means that it is always better to be pushing all-in rather than calling an all-in with AK if necessary, because to call with AK against an under pair is a losing play in the long run. By pushing all-in with AK you give your opponent the opportunity to fold for fear of an overpair, which will improve your expectation in the long run.
Go back to the poker odds charts.
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From the Button
When you are on the button with a stack between 11 and 23 big blinds, you should be raising frequently and only raising the absolute minimum. When the shorter stack is below 23 big blinds there is no reason to raise any more than the minimum because you already raising 10% of the effective stack. Raising around 70% of your hands at this point in the tournament is a good place to start, and an approximate hand distribution is shown below.
22+,A2s+,K2s+,Q2s+,J2s+,T2s+,94s+,84s+,74s+,64s+,54s,A2o+,K2o+,Q4o+,J6o+,T7o+,97o+,86o+,76o
If your opponent is reraising all-in frequently you may need to tighten up to approximately 50% and call his all-in reraises with around 17% of all hands. The larger the stacks are and the tighter your opponent is, the tighter your range should be for calling his all-in reraises.
By the time the effective stack is down below 23 big blinds you will usually know quite a bit about your opponent. If they are tight then you should continue raising every hand because the blinds are so valuable at this level. Against a very loose and aggressive opponent it is best to tighten up slightly at this level, but you can not let them run over you and the end of the tournament is probably coming soon for one of you.
Against an opponent who is frequently limping this is the time to start raising when they limp in from the button. The money in the pot now is worth stealing and you’ve had enough time to see that they are limping frequently. Raising to three times the big blind with the top 50% of your hands is a good starting strategy against a frequent limper at these levels.
From the Big Blind
When the effective stack is between 10 and 16 big blinds you will be in “3shove” range. This means that if there is a raise from the button, it is not wise for the big blind to make a reraise unless he is going all-in. This stage is important because there are often profitable opportunities to push all-in after your opponent has raised. This is because there are now at least 3 big blinds in the pot and your opponent will often fold to your all-in reraise. If they don’t fold, you are already all-in and even the worst hand still has a reasonable chance to win the pot once all the cards are dealt.
These 3shove or “resteal” opportunities are most common when the smaller stack is between 11 and 16 big blinds. You must have enough chips to make your opponent fold, but a small enough stack that the money in the pot is worth fighting over. If you were to shove all-in with 60 big blinds to steal a pot that is only 3 big blinds you would often be successful but in the long run you would lose because you would be risking too much to win such a small pot compared to your stack.
3shove ranges are dependent on how often your opponent raises from the button and also how often he can fold when you push all-in. These ranges are for typical opponents who will raise a wide range from the button and call all-in with a medium range.
Heads Up Poker Hand Chart Best Hands
These ranges may seem awfully wide, as the push/fold ranges on the 0-10 big blinds page, but just like those ranges, we know these are correct and experts are unable to beat them.